2008 THREAT PREDICTIONS

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Cyber criminal techniques are evolving quickly and efficiently not only to evade detection but also to steal data and manipulate trusted content such as Web sites and applications.

As content has become the lifeblood of business, it’s critical that organizations and individuals recognize that attackers are changing techniques and launching targeted attacks.

Each year, Websense Security Labs™ -- the research team that developed ThreatSeeker™ technology that helps protect Websense customers worldwide from emerging security threats – issues their security predictions for the next year. Vice President of Security Research Dan Hubbard talks about what businesses should watch out for in 2008.

Q&A with Dan Hubbard
December 2007
Q: What does Websense base its predictions on?
A: My team gathers threat intelligence by scanning close to a billion Web sites and emails every week looking for malicious threats. We have developed a set of proprietary, patent-pending technologies that have helped us find several high-impact Web exploits and zero-day threats. When we say "Intelligent" Content Protection, this is what we mean by intelligence. This intelligence protects our customers and increases their security effectiveness.
Q: How does Websense protect customers from the emerging threats you find on the Web and in email?
A: We distribute an average of 80 security updates per day to protect more than 42 million users from external and internal computer security threats. Our Websense Web Security Suite software uses these updates to block access to malicious sites. This intelligence and experience also helps us predict hackers’ focus in the next year.
Q: Don’t antivirus and firewalls protect against these threats?
A: No. Therefore it’s important that businesses become aware of gaps in traditional security technologies – technologies that are not designed to address the problems of today and tomorrow.
Q: How can I find out if I’m protected?
A: Websense can help you evaluate your security effectiveness in just 5 days*, and it is all easy. By using Websense Web Security Suite software to monitor your network traffic, you can see what security risks your current solutions are missing - risks like spyware, keylogger backchannel communication, e-mail borne worms, peer-to-peer communications, malicious websites, and other HTTP traffic. Take the Websense Security Challenge, and see what your security solution is missing.

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Q: What should businesses watch out for in 2008?
A: The explosion of Web 2.0 technologies such as social networks, web widgets / gadgets / modules, and mash-up technologies bring a whole new dynamic to how people use the Internet. The popularity of these technologies will lead attackers to the wealth of opportunities to infiltrate groups, spread malicious code, defraud users, and spread other nefarious code.
Websense 2008 Security Threat Predictions
December 2007
1. Olympics – new cyber attacks, phishing and fraud
Event-based attacks and scams are popular, and with the whole world watching, the 2008 Olympics may fuel a surge in cyberattacks. As the Olympic torch burns, Websense researchers predict the possibility of large scale denial-of-service (DoS) attacks on Beijing Olympic-related sites as political statements and fraud attempts through email and the Web surrounding the Olympics. Additionally, Websense predicts compromises of popular Olympic news or other sports sites —attacks designed to install malicious code on end-users’ machines and steal personal or confidential business information.
2. Malicious SPAM invades blogs, search engines, forums and Web sites
Websense predicts that hackers will increasingly use Web spam to post URLs to malicious sites within forums, blogs, in the commentary or “talk-back” sections of news sites and on compromised Web sites. This activity not only drives traffic to the infected Web sites but also assists in the purveyor’s site sitting higher on search engine rankings, increasing the risk that users will visit the site.
3. Attackers use Web’s ‘weakest links’ to launch attacks
The Web is an entanglement of links and content. The advent of Web 2.0 additions such as Google Adsense, mash-ups, widgets, and social networks along with the massive amounts of Web advertisements linked to Web pages have increased the likelihood of ‘weak links’—or Web sites and content that are vulnerable to compromises. Websense predicts that attackers will increasingly exploit the weakest links within the Web infrastructure in order to target the greatest number of Internet users. Most vulnerable to these attacks are search engines and large user networks such as MySpace, Facebook or other social networking sites.
4. Number of compromised Web sites will surpass number of created malicious sites
The Web as an attack vector has been steadily increasing for the last five years and now attackers are using compromised sites as their launching platforms—even more than their own created sites. Compromising sites—particularly, sites well-visited by end-users, such as the Dolphin Stadium attack that occurred a few days prior to the 2007 Super Bowl XLI in Miami., provides attackers with built-in Web traffic and minimizes the need for lures through email, instant messaging or Web posts.
5. Cross-platform Web attacks -- Mac, iPhone popularity spurs increase
With the brand popularity and growing use of iPhones and Macintosh computers, Websense researchers predict attackers will increasingly launch cross-platform Web attacks that detect the operating system in use and serve up code specifically targeting that operating system instead of attacks based on just the Web browser. Operating systems that are targeted now include Mac OSX, iPhone, and Windows.
6. Rise in targeted Web 2.0 special interest attacks: hackers targeting specific groups of people based on interests and profile
Web 2.0 has spawned a proliferation of Web users that visit chat rooms, social networking sites, and special interest Web sites such as travel sites, automotive, and more. These sites provide attackers with potential victims that fall within a certain age group, wealth bracket, or people with particular purchasing habits. In 2008, Websense researchers predict targeted attacks will rise toward specific social networking or special interest sites that have a higher probability of delivering a payoff.
7. Morphing JavaScript to evade anti-virus scanners
Hackers are upping the ante with evasion techniques that use poly-morphic JavaScript (Polyscript) – which means that a uniquely-coded Web page is served up for each visit by a user to a malicious Web site. By changing the code every visit, signature-based security scanning technologies have difficulty detecting Web pages as malicious and hackers can extend the length of time their malicious site evades detection.
8. Data concealment methods increase in sophistication
Websense predicts an increased use of crypto-virology and sophistication in data concealment including the use of steganography, embedding data within standard protocols, and potentially within media files. Toolkits widely available on the Web will be used to embed proprietary information and steal data.
9. Global law enforcement will crack down on key hacker groups and individuals
In 2007, large-scale Internet-based attacks garnered the attention of law enforcement officials around the world. Websense anticipates that through the global cooperation of enforcement agencies, in 2008 the biggest crackdown and arrests of key members of a hacker group will occur.
10. Vishing and voice spam will combine and increase
The vast cell phone user population has grown into a lucrative market to exploit with spamming and “vishing” for financial gain. To date, researchers have seen an increased number of vishing attacks but not a lot of spam—or pro-active automated calling. In 2008 Websense predicts that “vishing”, or the practice of using social engineering and Voice over IP (VoIP) to gain personal and financial information and voice spam will combine and increase—users will receive automated voice calls on LAN lines with voice spam to lure them to input their credentials through the telephone.

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